Treasury yields declined on Monday as mounting anxiety over President Donald Trump\u2019s aggressive tariff agenda prompted a rush into safe-haven assets. With sweeping duties expected to take effect this week, markets braced for economic fallout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell 2.3 basis points to 4.232%, while the 2-year yield slipped slightly to 3.90%. Other key tenors showed mixed movement: the 30-year yield dropped 2 basis points to 4.612%, while shorter-term notes such as the 1-month and 6-month ticked up marginally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Wednesday marks what Trump has dubbed \u201cLiberation Day,\u201d when the first wave of tariffs will be implemented. Initially expected to target a select list of trade-deficit nations, Trump now says the duties will apply to all countries<\/strong>. Markets remain jittery as uncertainty clouds the scope, enforcement, and duration of the measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cThe uncertainty around Trump\u2019s tariff policy is creating severe volatility,\u201d said one bond strategist. \u201cInvestors are fleeing risk, and Treasuries are the immediate safe haven.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Economists are dialing down growth expectations in response. A CNBC survey now predicts just 0.3% U.S. GDP growth<\/strong> in Q1 2025, a sharp slowdown from the 2.3% recorded in the same period last year. Some analysts warn of a possible recession if reciprocal tariffs and trade tensions deepen in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Markets are also looking ahead to further announcements, including additional duties and potential retaliation from global partners. Negotiations may stretch well beyond this week, prolonging economic uncertainty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Amid the trade concerns, investors must also digest a slew of key U.S. labor market data. Tuesday brings the February JOLTS report, while Wednesday features the ADP private payrolls release for March. The crucial nonfarm payrolls and unemployment data are due Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n That same day, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell<\/strong> is scheduled to speak\u2014his remarks may offer further insight into how the central bank will respond to the inflation and growth risks posed by Trump\u2019s trade policies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Investors flee to safety as recession risks rise Treasury yields declined on Monday as mounting anxiety over President Donald Trump\u2019s aggressive tariff agenda prompted a rush into safe-haven assets. With sweeping duties expected to take effect this week, markets braced for economic fallout. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell 2.3 basis points to<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":6367,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[3713,3029,2754,397,613,3714,3709,3710,3696,3712,3711,3007,2376,3014,2938,3362],"class_list":{"0":"post-6366","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-10-year-treasury","9":"tag-bond-market","10":"tag-economic-slowdown","11":"tag-federal-reserve","12":"tag-interest-rates","13":"tag-job-market-data","14":"tag-liberation-day","15":"tag-powell-speech","16":"tag-recession-risk","17":"tag-reciprocal-tariffs","18":"tag-safe-haven","19":"tag-trade-war","20":"tag-treasury-yields","21":"tag-trump-tariffs","22":"tag-u-s-economy","23":"tag-u-s-inflation"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guardianglobe.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6366"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guardianglobe.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guardianglobe.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guardianglobe.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guardianglobe.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6366"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/guardianglobe.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6366\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6368,"href":"https:\/\/guardianglobe.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6366\/revisions\/6368"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guardianglobe.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6367"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guardianglobe.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6366"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guardianglobe.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6366"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guardianglobe.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6366"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Recession fears intensify<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Busy week ahead for data and the Fed<\/h2>\n\n\n\n